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Support Among Independents and Democrats Leaning Toward Obama Increases Modestly After Viewing New Ad


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Independents and Democrats Report Being Inspired, Republicans Skeptical

Flemington, NJ, October 27, 2008 – A new national study among 313 self-reported Democrats, Republicans and Independents revealed that after viewing a new web ad supporting Barack Obama, support among Independents and Democrats leaning toward Obama modestly increased.

The study was conducted by HCD Research and the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion (MCIPO) on October 24-25, to obtain Americans’ perceptions of a new ad by Barack Obama,which features images of influential people throughout history.

The ad earned Barack Obama a Political Communications Impact Score (PCIS) of 15.4 while John McCain received a score of 3.2, resulting in a net score of 12.2 for Barack Obama. The scores can be compared to a mean score of 8.7 for previously tested Obama ads and 7.5 for previously tested McCain ads.  To date, the total mean score for all previously tested ads is 8.1.

Among the Findings:

Emotions Most Felt Among All Parties While Viewing the Ad

  • Among political parties, the emotions most felt by Republicans while watching the ad were “skepticism” (38%) and “inspiration” (25%), compared to Democrats, who reported “inspiration” (55%) and “pride” (19%) as the emotions most felt. Independents reported “inspiration” (45%) and “skepticism” (23%) as the emotions most felt while watching the ad.

“This ad is a contrast to many of the attack ads we’ve seen in this campaign.  The impact of the ad was positive, resulting in firming-up support among those leaning toward Senator Obama” said Glenn Kessler, president and CEO of HCD Research.

The PCIS is a metric scoring system designed to gauge the effectiveness of political communications by generating a score for each candidate to monitor changes in voter perceptions. The PCIS score is derived from the change in voters’ support and the extent that the support shifts.  To view scores and results of recent studies go to: http://www.mediacurves.com/PCIS/

While viewing the video, participants indicated their levels of believability by moving their mouse from left to right on a continuum. The responses were recorded in quarter-second intervals and reported in the form of curves. The participants’ emotions were measured using the Ayer Emotion Battery. Participants were also asked pre- and post-viewing questions. To view believability curves and detailed results go to: www.mediacurves.com.

The Media Curves web site provides the media and general public with a venue to view Americans’ perceptions of popular and controversial media events and advertisements.

Editors/Reporters: For more information on the study, or to speak with Glenn Kessler, president and CEO, HCD Research or Chris Borick, Ph.D., director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion, please contact Vince McGourty, HCD Research, at (908) 483-9121 or (vince.mcgourty@hcdi.net).

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